Middle East tensions weigh on housing sales; Q1 sees 7% sequential dip across top cities

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Summarise

According to ANAROCK data, housing sales across the top seven cities declined 7% QoQ to approximately 1,01,675 units worth ₹1.51 lakh crore in Q1 2026, compared with around 1,08,970 units valued at ₹1.60 lakh crore in Q4 2025.  

The Mumbai Metropolitan Region and Bengaluru together accounted for 48% of total housing sales during the quarter.
The Mumbai Metropolitan Region and Bengaluru together accounted for 48% of total housing sales during the quarter. | Credits: Narendra Bisht

India’s residential real estate market saw a sequential slowdown in the first quarter of 2026, as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East weighed on buyer sentiment and input costs. 

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According to data from ANAROCK Group, housing sales across the top seven cities declined 7% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) to approximately 1,01,675 units worth ₹1.51 lakh crore in Q1 2026, compared with around 1,08,970 units valued at ₹1.60 lakh crore in Q4 2025. 

However, on a year-on-year (YoY) basis, sales rose 7%, supported by a lower base. In Q1 2025, about 93,280 units worth ₹1.42 lakh crore were sold. While sales value declined 5% sequentially, it registered a 6% annual increase. 

MMR, Bengaluru drive demand 

The Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) and Bengaluru together accounted for 48% of total housing sales during the quarter. Chennai recorded the steepest sequential decline at 18% but also posted the highest annual growth at 31%. 

Supply momentum continues 

New launches remained resilient despite softer demand. The top seven cities saw approximately 1,26,265 units launched in Q1 2026, marking a 2% QoQ rise and a sharp 26% YoY increase. 

MMR and Bengaluru led supply additions, contributing 51% of total new launches. While MMR saw a 6% sequential rise in supply, Bengaluru recorded a 7% increase. In contrast, Chennai, NCR, Kolkata, and Pune saw declines of 28%, 17%, 10%, and 9%, respectively. Hyderabad stood out with a 46% surge in new supply. 

Inventory levels rise 

With new launches outpacing sales, unsold inventory increased 4% QoQ and 7% YoY, rising from about 5.77 lakh units at the end of Q4 2025 to over 6.01 lakh units by the end of Q1 2026. 

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Among major cities, Bengaluru saw the highest quarterly increase in unsold stock at 12%, followed by Hyderabad at 7%. 

War impact visible on sentiment 

Commenting on the trends, Anuj Puri said the short-term impact of the Middle East conflict was evident in the housing market. “While the long-term fundamentals of India’s residential segment remain strong, the 7% dip in sales reflects war-induced uncertainty. Rising oil prices and construction costs, particularly in March, impacted sentiment and buying activity,” he said. 

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Puri noted that demand from Middle Eastern investors, who form a significant buyer segment in Indian real estate, slowed amid geopolitical uncertainty. 

A notable shift this quarter was the reversal of the post-pandemic trend, where housing sales had consistently outpaced new launches. “New launches have begun to exceed sales, leading to a build-up in unsold inventory, which has risen both sequentially and annually,” Puri added. 

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Key markets dominate launches 

MMR, Hyderabad, Bengaluru, Pune, and NCR together accounted for nearly 92% of total new supply in Q1 2026, underscoring their dominance in India’s residential real estate landscape. 

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