
RBI MPC meet: Moderate rate hikes on the card, says expert
The RBI is widely expected to opt for a lower rate hike of 35-50 bps in interest rates, along with a change in policy stance to “neutral”.
The RBI is widely expected to opt for a lower rate hike of 35-50 bps in interest rates, along with a change in policy stance to “neutral”.
Monetary policy can only hope to address future inflation, not today's inflation, says RBI deputy governor Michael Patra.
The unscheduled meeting on November 3 is only a part of the regulatory obligation, SBI Research says.
Less than a third of the increase in the repo rate during April-August has been transmitted to retail bank deposit rates, says RBI MPC member Jayanth R. Varma.
As inflation continues to stay above the central bank’s target ceiling of 6%, the MPC is set to go for another round of rate hikes in its policy announcement on August 5.
Inflation is now projected at 6.7% in 2022-23, with Q1 at 7.5%; Q2 at 7.4%; Q3 at 6.2%; and Q4 at 5.8%
The worsening outlook of inflation warrants timely action to forestall second round effects which could lead to unanchoring of inflation expectations, states the RBI governor.
While a majority of indices tanked today due to rate hike by RBI, LIC IPO was saved from dampening spirit of the Indian stock markets in the nick of time.
The monetary panel has decided to retain its accommodative stance from its meeting in April, with an eye accommodation withdrawal.
It is no secret that RBI is more worried about managing central government's mounting debt – up from 45.7% of the GDP in FY19 to 59.3% in FY21 – more than 90% of which is from internal sources.