This story belongs to the Fortune India Magazine April 2026 issue.
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AMERICAN PRESIDENT Donald Trump’s capricious and whimsical ways of dealing with the global economic order in the past one year have had tempestuous consequences on global trade. The U.S.-Israel joint attack on Iran, which has entered the second month, is a big blow for the global economy. The world is on the brink of a vicious loop of energy and oil shocks leading to firming up of prices and interest rates, and a colossal dent on global growth.
As missiles and drones wreak havoc on the refineries and critical oil infrastructure of both the sides — America’s allies in the Middle East (Saudi Arabia, the U.A.E., Qatar, Bahrain, and Jordan), and Iran itself — crude oil prices have soared, with benchmark Brent crude touching a high of $117 per barrel on March 19, registering a 67% jump over the pre-conflict average price of $70 per barrel in February.