Aided by strong demand recovery, credit ratio rebounds to 1.33 in H2FY21, from 0.54 in H1FY21. GDP could grow at 11% in FY22, but the resurgence in Covid-19 cases is a key downside risk, says CRISIL.
According to a BofA Securities report, the Covid-19 shock could delay India touching the GDP of Japan by three years. In their latest estimates, it will now happen by 2031 if the economy grows at 9%.
While Indian banks' improved financial metrics do not fully reflect the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, the under–capitalised PSBs are likely to remain risk averse and lose market share.
Apart from recapitalisation, public sector banks get a shot in the arm in the form of ARC and AMC mechanisms to clean up their books.
