A dose of cautious optimism from the Reserve Bank
Governor Shaktikanta Das’ latest policy statement sees FY21 growth contracting by 9.5%, but also talks about the possibility of India renewing the “tryst with its pre-Covid growth trajectory”.
inflation
October 2020
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RBI relief for Covid-19 pain
Monetary policy committee keeps rates unchanged; central bank announces new measures to mitigate pandemic woes, as it sees 9.5% contraction in real GDP for FY21.
All eyes on the new faces in Reserve Bank’s MPC
The Reserve Bank of India will unveil its monetary policy statement on October 9. The central bank is expected to hold rates for now, but what will be the broader signal from Mint Road?
RBI managing economic challenges well: report
While gloom prevails across economies, a State Bank of India report says that the Reserve Bank of India has been relatively successful in ensuring financial stability in the market since May.
Economic recovery likely to be gradual: Das
Reserve Bank of India governor Shaktikanta Das says that efforts towards reopening the economy are confronted with rising Covid-19 infections.
Moody’s India downgrade is not unexpected: BofA Securities
While the rating agency downgraded India’s sovereign rating, BofA Securities’ economists see the present downturn as cyclical rather than structural; say fiscal stimulus is critical for recovery.
RBI CUTS REPO RATE BY 40 BPS IN FRESH SALVO
Moratorium extended, banks’ group exposure increased to 30%; slew of measures to support economy affected by Covid-19.
RBI’s masked growth and inflation forecasts
The central bank has been quiet on its regular growth and inflation forecasts, citing the highly fluid circumstances, but it has given ample hints in its latest Monetary Policy report.
‘Covid-19 hangs over the future, like a spectre’
While directly mum on inflation and growth, the RBI’s latest monetary policy report warns that Covid-19 would impact economic activity in India through lockdowns and slowing global trade and growth.
Rate cuts are a matter of ‘when’, not ‘if’
Despite acknowledging that inflation surged above tolerance level and the economy continued to be weak, the central bank’s MPC sees policy space available for future rate action.
